
China cancelled US agricultural purchases, pushing US corn lower and dragging wheat and soybean futures down with it. Traders linked the cancellations to weak US export demand as Brazil harvests massive crops.
Wheat also reacted to a Black Sea shipping deal for Ukrainian grain.
Chinese purchase cancellations reduce US export demand, weighing on corn and soybean prices. Competition from record Brazilian supplies reinforces the bearish outlook for US feed grains.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
China's cancellation of US purchases hit corn and dragged wheat lower via weak export demand, and the Black Sea shipping deal for Ukrainian grain added bearish supply-side pressure on the same day.