CBOT soybean and wheat futures rose on 20 March 2020 on Chinese buying of US commodities, while corn closed lower. Chinese importers signed deals for US corn and wheat in their first major purchases since the Phase 1 deal, and unknown buyers booked 110,000 tonnes of US soybeans.
Chinese purchases under the Phase 1 deal support export demand for US grains, while weak ethanol expectations keep corn pressured.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.