Chicago soybean futures rose for a second session as the US delayed a 10% tariff on certain Chinese products, including laptops and cellphones, and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He held phone talks with US trade officials. Trump also cited China for not following through on expected large farm purchases.
Corn was weighed by a USDA upgrade to its US production outlook.
Easing trade tensions raise expectations of Chinese purchases of US soybeans, supporting soybean and meal prices. A bigger US corn crop outlook keeps corn under pressure.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.