
Oil fell about 5.7% on May 22, 2019, with WTI settling at $57.91, its lowest close since March 12. Brent fell to $67.64 intraday.
Losses were driven by expectations of a prolonged US-China trade war and weak manufacturing data from Japan, Germany and the EU, while easing Middle East tensions added pressure.
Expectations of weaker global growth and fuel demand push crude lower, which in turn lowers energy input costs and reduces support for biofuel-linked feedstocks.
After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Describes the May 22 WTI drop (settling $57.91) driven by a prolonged US-China trade war outlook and weak global manufacturing data, matching the move's date and size.
Describes the same selloff on trade war expectations and weak global manufacturing, though its dating is inconsistent.