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NYMEX light sweet crude for May dropped nearly $2 per barrel on April 2 after China imposed import tariffs on US goods in retaliation for US steel and aluminum tariffs. Brent for June fell $1.70 per barrel over the same session.
Chinese tariffs on US goods threaten US export demand, particularly for agricultural products, and signal a broadening trade war that pressures energy and commodity prices.
ogj.comPaula DittrickApr 3, 2018After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
China's retaliatory tariffs on US goods on April 2 sparked trade-war fears that hit demand sentiment and pushed Brent down about $1.70, feeding into the multi-day decline measured through April 4.
