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Light sweet crude contracts for July and August fell more than $3.50 per barrel on May 23, 2019, the sharpest one-day drop since December 2018. Brent's July contract settled under $68 after falling over $3.
The EIA reported a 4.7 million barrel US crude inventory increase, and Trump said Huawei complaints might be resolved in a US-China trade deal.
Trade-deal hopes and rising US supplies both point to lower crude demand and prices. Weaker energy costs reduce biofuel and ethanol feedstock values, while trade-war easing can support Chinese feed and soybean demand.
ogj.comPaula DittrickMay 24, 2019After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports the sharpest one-day drop since December on May 23 with Brent down over $3, linked to US-China news and the inventory build.
Reports the sharpest one-day drop since December 2018 on US-China news and the EIA inventory build.
