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Crude futures fell in Asian trading on April 3 after the US announced blanket tariffs of at least 10% on imports and reciprocal duties on major partners. Energy imports were largely excluded from the tariffs, but analysts expected slower global growth.
Expectations of weaker global growth and oil demand from a trade war put downward pressure on crude and energy-linked input costs, while the energy exemption limits direct cost effects.
spglobal.comApr 3, 2025After 56 past bearish trade events, BRENT moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
After 80 past bearish trade events, WTI moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The US announcement of sweeping tariffs on April 3 raised global growth and oil demand concerns, triggering the initial sell-off in crude futures.
The Apr 3 US tariff announcement triggered the initial selloff via expected slower global growth, even though energy imports were largely excluded.
Crude fell in Asia after the blanket tariff announcement as slower global growth was priced in despite energy being excluded.
