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U.S. stocks gave back their gains after a new tariff threat from President Trump. Benchmark oil prices, which are sensitive to the global economic outlook, plunged 7%, and government bond yields fell.
The tariff threat raises concern about global growth and energy demand, pushing crude lower. Risk-off moves also tend to strengthen the dollar, which pressures dollar-priced commodities.
nytimes.comAug 1, 2019After 80 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 56 past bearish trade events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -5.6% over 5 sessions (20% higher; middle half -9.0% to -1.7%), and -4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
