
November soybean futures fell about 1% to $8.14, setting new record lows, as the dollar index recovered. The White House announced new 10% tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods, with China retaliating and forecasts of record U.S. output.
New tariff escalation and record U.S. output forecasts push soybean prices lower by cutting export demand, while a firmer dollar makes U.S. beans less competitive abroad.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 45 past bullish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.