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Chicago corn, wheat and soybeans hit fresh multi-month highs as the dollar fell and fears of a trade war with China, Canada and Mexico eased. Trump postponed tariffs on Mexico and Canada for a month, and Beijing's retaliation excluded crops.
Adverse South American weather added support.
Easing trade tensions reduce the risk of lost US farm export demand, and possible Chinese soybean purchases could support soybean prices further.
ukragroconsult.comFeb 6, 2025After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 39 past bearish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (26% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.0%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
