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Chicago soybean futures hit a three-month high as the US-China truce and a bullish USDA report helped prices recover to pre-trade-war levels. Wheat slid to lifetime lows on good US harvest prospects and bigger world and US ending stocks, while USDA's first new-crop corn inventory forecast fell short of expectations.
The tariff truce and tight USDA soybean supplies support soybean prices, while ample wheat supplies keep wheat weak and lower feed-grain alternatives less expensive.
canadiancattlemen.caHeather Schlitz, ReutersMay 12, 2025After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
