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China published a list of 696 American products, including soybeans, pork, beef, corn, wheat, crude oil and LNG, eligible for retaliatory duty relief. Companies can apply for waivers from March 2, and exemptions are valid for one year up to approved volumes.
Analysts say the coronavirus outbreak has dashed Chinese demand, so a large surge in buying is unlikely.
The waivers lower tariff costs for US grains, oilseeds and energy, but the coronavirus demand drop limits the near-term price boost. Purchases above approved volumes remain subject to tariffs.
farmprogress.comBloombergFeb 18, 2020After 696 past bullish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, CORN moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 36 past bullish trade events, WTI moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (69% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.5%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
