
China's tariff exclusions under the Phase One agreement have boosted US sorghum export demand. Export commitments have more than doubled the volume sold in 2018/19, and China accounts for about 75 percent of US commitments.
Sorghum prices have reached their highest levels since July 2015.
Heavy Chinese buying against shrinking US domestic sorghum acres tightens supply and lifts prices, which feed buyers will face through the harvest. Sorghum has been trading at a slight discount to corn, but that gap has narrowed.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.