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Soybean market participants are weighing signals from renewed U.S.-China trade talks, with bulls citing a possible headline lift and rumored cargoes of U.S. soybeans reaching China. An Oil World representative expects China will eventually need about 13 million tonnes more U.S. soybeans, but warned that without a deal the market could turn more bearish into early 2019.
Expectations of Chinese purchases underpin soybean prices, while lack of a trade deal raises the risk of lower prices and reduced U.S. soybean acreage.
farmprogress.comKevin Van TrumpAug 17, 2018After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
