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The White House imposed effective tariffs from February 1 on eight European countries until the U.S. is allowed to buy Greenland, with threats of higher duties from June 1. The dollar fell sharply, and the EU weighed retaliation including €93 billion in tariffs on American goods.
New tariffs and possible EU retaliation on U.S. goods threaten U.S. agricultural export demand and can pressure feed grain and meal prices. The weaker dollar partly offsets this by making U.S. exports cheaper abroad.
fxstreet.comChristian Borjon ValenciaJan 19, 2026After 39 past bearish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (26% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.0%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 12 past bullish trade events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The 2026-01-19 tariff escalation began the dollar selloff and set up the following day's continued move, though it is a prior-day driver.
