Loading…
The yen hit a one-month high against the dollar and multi-year highs against antipodean currencies after Trump broke a truce in the Sino-US trade war. Safe-haven demand rose as markets priced in escalation.
Escalation of US-China tariffs threatens soybean and grain export demand and pressures commodity-exporter currencies, which can weigh on feed-grain prices.
reuters.comStanley WhiteAug 2, 2019After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 39 past bearish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (26% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.0%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
