Mexican demand for US grain slumped after Donald Trump's election win as the peso fell to an all-time low against the dollar. Buyers withdrew from the market, after Mexico bought 709,261 tonnes of US corn in the week before the election.
Mexico is the second-largest buyer of Iowa corn, so a sustained drop in purchases weighs on US corn export demand and prices. The peso slump raises import costs and dampens buying.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.