The situation in the US is improving because of the precipitation, in Ukraine however it does not rain

After 57 past bullish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.7%), and -0.7% over 20.

• Dec 27, 2019Fluctuations in sterling affecting grain prices | The Scottish Farmer+0.2%
• Apr 26, 2022Ukraine war to cause biggest price shock in 50 years - World Bank-1.4%
• Nov 22, 2019Prices of sorghum, millet declining in Sudan - Dabanga Radio TV Online+1.6%
• Feb 14, 2022Dollar strengthens on Bullard rate comments, Ukraine concerns+0.3%
• Dec 3, 2020Grains and the Dollar: An Imperfect but Negative Relationship+9.8%

After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.

• Feb 27, 2019US Corn Is King Now, but Production Costs Threaten Its Reign-0.3%
• Nov 16, 2018Is a Chinese yuan appreciation on the way? - CGTN-0.9%
• Jun 17, 2019FX Talking: The beginning of the end of the dollar’s rally | reports | ING THINK+0.7%
• Jun 10, 2021In the eye of the storm: How the oilseeds market emerged as the global driver of agriculture markets, its role in wider food price inflation - Fastmarkets-7.3%
• Oct 31, 2023US dollar falls as markets believe Fed is done hiking rates | Reuters+4.5%

After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Aug 4, 2022Oil prices hit lowest since Ukraine invasion amid recession fears | Reuters+1.5%
• Mar 5, 2025Declining crude oil and vegetable oil prices lower prices for sunflower seeds and oil in Ukraine-2.9%
• Oct 30, 2018Poloz helped the Loonie, but a weak Crude Oil and a strong USD dollar index are not - OFX (US)-5.8%
• Jun 17, 2018The Fed Is Driving Down Oil Prices | OilPrice.com+5.9%
• Aug 15, 2021Ringgit hits 1-year low after cabinet resignation; may face pressure in coming months - The Business Times-8.9%

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Sep 29, 2025Why is the exchange rate in Vietnam rising rapidly despite the depreciation of the US dollar internationally?-0.3%
• Dec 14, 2022Krungthai reveals baht this morning "Appreciated" to 34.58 baht/dollar on news of US inflation being slower than expected - Money & Banking Magazine+0.2%
• Jun 26, 2018For the US dollar, the only way is not up | articles | ING THINK+0.8%
• Aug 31, 2021What Does the Higher Eurozone Inflation Have in Store for the EUR/USD?-0.2%
• Nov 10, 2022U.S. inflation turning the corner as consumer prices rise below expectations-1.6%