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A chief strategist at Fullerton Markets argues that yuan appreciation may be coming, citing a narrowing onshore-offshore spread and a stronger offshore yuan over three days. Onshore USD/CNY has mostly stayed above 6.90 since the start of the fourth quarter.
A stronger yuan would make dollar-priced imports cheaper for Chinese buyers, a modestly supportive signal for US soybean and feed demand. This is an opinion piece rather than a new cause of price movement.
news.cgtn.comJimmy ZhuNov 16, 2018After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
