
Chinese November 2020 exports rose 21.1% year on year, the fastest pace since February 2018, and the trade surplus hit a record $75.42 billion. Imports rose 4.5%, below consensus.
TD Securities expects further yuan appreciation but says new US sanctions on Chinese officials could limit gains.
Strong import growth and a record surplus point to robust Chinese demand, while a firmer yuan makes dollar-priced commodity imports cheaper in local terms. Feed price impact is modest.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.