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The U.S. Dollar Index has fallen about 11% since mid-March 2020 from a high of 102.8, while CBOT soybeans rallied roughly 30%, corn about 20%, and SRW wheat about 6% over the same period. The article attributes the grain rally to Northern Hemisphere weather problems and strong US export sales to China and Mexico.
A weaker dollar makes US grain cheaper for foreign buyers and has tracked the price rally, so continued dollar weakness supports grain and feed prices.
dtnpf.comElaine KubDec 3, 2020After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 57 past bullish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.7%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
