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The dollar dropped sharply after a softer-than-expected US CPI reading for October, with Fed funds futures pricing in an early start to rate cuts. Analysts argued the move looked overdone and that activity data would be needed for a sustained dollar decline.
Expectations of Fed easing weaken the dollar, which can lift dollar-denominated grain and meal prices, though analysts caution the move may partly reverse.
think.ing.comFrancesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky, Chris TurnerNov 15, 2023After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
