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Argentine President Mauricio Macri faces a peso sell-off, and soybean farmers are being urged to sell their crops so dollars flow into the country. Farmers are holding back soybeans, with Bloomberg reporting that a crop-sales delay has left the government short of dollars.
The article notes the government's efforts to reduce export taxes and boost farm sales.
Farmer hoarding of soybeans slows export flows and tightens near-term supply, supporting soybean and meal prices. A peso devaluation or export tax change could also shift farmer selling and export pricing.
agupdate.comJonathan Gilbert, Bloomberg NewsMay 16, 2018After 123 past bullish macro events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 44 past bullish macro events, SBM moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -1.9% to +0.9%), and -2.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
