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About 1.4 million Argentines bought dollars on the formal market in July, up nearly 60% from June, as political turmoil and inflation at a three-decade high eroded confidence. Black-market dollars traded at 292 pesos versus about 253 pesos at the official rate including taxes.
Heavy dollar demand and a wide parallel exchange gap signal persistent peso weakness and capital flight. This can encourage farmers to hold grain for a better rate, which tightens Argentine export supply and supports meal and oil prices.
batimes.com.arJames GraingerAug 28, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 44 past bullish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -1.9% to +0.9%), and -2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
