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ING's FX strategy team says there is a real loss of confidence in the US dollar, particularly against the yen. The bank has cut its dollar-yen forecast because the pair has diverged from real interest rate differentials over the past month, and it expects that divergence to widen.
A sustained decline in the dollar would support dollar-priced grains and oilseeds. The impact on feed prices depends on whether the move persists.
think.ing.comChris TurnerFeb 15, 2018After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
