
Euro-zone inflation jumped to 3.0% in August, above forecasts, and core inflation rose to 1.6%. EUR/USD gained after the data, and ECB Governing Council member Knot said the outlook could allow an end to the PEPP by March 2022.
Expectations of earlier ECB tapering support the euro against the dollar, which can pressure dollar-priced commodities. The impact on feed prices is indirect.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.