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The pound rallied to retest one-year highs against the dollar after US PCE inflation fell to 4.2% in March, its lowest since May 2021. Weaker consumer sentiment and a stronger Chicago business barometer also weighed on the dollar.
A softer dollar on easing US inflation expectations can modestly support dollar-denominated commodity prices.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.