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WTI crude settled up 24.67% at $25.32 on April 2, 2020, its largest one-day percentage gain on record, after Trump said Saudi Arabia and Russia would ease pressure on oil. Trump said he expected a production cut of 10 million to 15 million barrels.
Brent rose about 18% to $29.14 intraday.
Expected output cuts of 10 to 15 million barrels a day would be a large supply withdrawal, lifting crude and energy input costs. Crude strength tends to support biofuel-linked oils and can raise diesel and fertilizer costs for feed production.
cnbc.comFred Imbert, Pippa StevensApr 2, 2020After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Documents WTI's record one-day gain of 24.67% to $25.32 on expectations of Saudi-Russia supply easing.
Describes WTI's best day on record after Trump said Saudi Arabia and Russia would ease pressure, directly matching the move.
Trump's CNBC claim of a Saudi-Russia agreement drove the record one-day rally, easing the supply-war pressure.
WTI's record one-day gain on Trump's remarks about a Saudi-Russia agreement lifted the whole crude complex including Brent.
Trump's claim of a Saudi-Russia agreement triggered the record rally in crude on April 2, supply-side expectations.
