
Brent crude settled nearly 15% higher on Monday, posting its biggest jump in over 30 years amid record trading volumes. The rally followed an attack on Saudi Arabian crude facilities that cut the kingdom's output roughly in half.
Traders also feared retaliation across the Middle East.
Losing about 5% of global crude supply removes a large share of the world's spare barrels and lifts crude prices. Feed buyers face higher diesel, freight and energy costs, which feed through to grain, oilseed and ingredient prices.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly describes the Brent settlement jump of nearly 15% after the attack halved Saudi output, a supply shock and the core driver of the move.
Reports the Brent surge on halved Saudi output and fears of regional retaliation.