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Diesel futures rose about 10% on Monday after drone attacks on Saudi Arabian oil facilities, which reportedly took about 50% of the country's production offline. NYMEX October ULSD settled up 20.6 cents, or 11%, at $2.0838 a gallon, a near four-month high.
U.S. distillate inventories were about 6% below the five-year average.
Tight distillate stocks plus a supply shock during the harvest period will keep diesel expensive through harvest and into winter. Higher fuel costs raise grain hauling and feed delivery expenses for buyers.
dtnpf.comAlton WallaceSep 16, 2019After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
