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Oil and diesel futures spiked on Friday after Israel attacked Iran, though no Iranian oil facilities were reported hit. ULSD settled up 7.77% at $2.3587/gallon, its highest since February 27, while Brent rose about 7% to $74.23/bbl.
The conflict raises the risk of a Strait of Hormuz disruption, which would tighten global crude and diesel supply and push up energy and fuel-related costs.
freightwaves.comJohn KingstonJun 13, 2025After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
ULSD settled up 7.77% on June 13 after Israel struck Iran, the single largest driver of the 5-day rally via Middle East supply-risk premium.
ULSD settled up 7.77% on June 13 after Israel struck Iran, the single largest driver of the 5-day gain via a Middle East supply-risk premium.
Brent rose about 7% and diesel spiked on the Israel attack, confirming the crude move and its product spillover.
Brent rose about 7% to $74.23 and diesel spiked on the Israel attack, even though no Iranian oil facilities were hit.
Oil and diesel futures spiked on the Israeli attack, with ULSD up 7.77% alongside crude.
Brent rose about 7% to $74.23 on June 13 and diesel spiked with it, which confirms the oil move.
