
OPEC and allied producers meet in Vienna starting December 3 with a sequence of meetings through December 6. Analysts flag projected supply/demand imbalance for 2020, with OPEC output falling sharply from November 2018 levels after the cuts and Saudi output hit by attacks on its facilities.
Feed buyers should watch crude as a driver of biofuel economics, freight and fertilizer costs; a deeper OPEC+ cut would support crude and diesel and could lift soyoil and vegetable oil prices through biodiesel margins.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.