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OPEC and non-OPEC producers agreed to extend output cuts by nine months, which oil traders had partly expected. Crude fell below $50 as traders had hoped for deeper or longer cuts.
The article argues the decision will have little effect on US diesel pump prices.
The extension supports crude over time, but the market's reaction shows doubts about the deal, and US shale output limits the effect on diesel.
freightwaves.comBrian StraightMay 26, 2017After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 327 past geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.9% to +7.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
