
OPEC+ agreed in mid-April to cut crude output by 9.7 million bpd, the largest cut ever and the first to include the US, ending a March price war. Cuts run through June, then taper to 7.8 million bpd from July and 5.8 million bpd from January 2021.
The historic cut removes a large share of global supply, providing firm support for crude and energy costs that affect feed logistics and fertilizer.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.