
OPEC and its allies agreed on June 6 to extend their record 9.7 million bpd production cut through July. Mexico's commitment left July's cut at 9.6 million bpd, and compliance-linked extra cuts were required for May and June overproduction.
Continued supply restraint supports crude prices, which feeds into energy costs for feed milling and transport and supports demand for biofuel-linked vegetable oils.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.