
WTI topped $40 for the first time in three months after OPEC+ extended its nearly 10 million bpd output cut through July. Saudi Arabia raised official prices for Asian customers by up to $7.30 a barrel, the largest increase in two decades.
Extended supply cuts and higher Saudi pricing support crude, which lifts diesel and transport costs and can support biofuel feedstock values.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.