Oil steadied as Russia joined OPEC in cutting production, with Russian condensate output down about 100,000 bpd between December and January. Brent traded near $55.63 and WTI near $52.86, while a reported rise in US crude inventories limited gains.
Russian and OPEC cuts support crude prices, but rising US inventories cap upside, leaving energy input costs mixed for feed producers.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.