
OPEC+ agreed to cut crude output by 9.7 mb/d over May and June 2020, with cuts relaxed to 7.7 mb/d from July. The baseline is October 2018 production, with Saudi Arabia and Russia at 11 mb/d, and the US has not committed to cuts.
Detailed cut schedule confirms a multi-year supply reduction that supports crude prices and energy costs feeding into biofuel and transport margins.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.