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Oil prices reached 3½-year highs in the week of May 11 as markets expected renewed US sanctions to squeeze Iranian supply and heighten regional tensions. A 2016 agreement between OPEC and non-OPEC producers, including Russia, had already cut global supply by about 2%.
The Wall Street Journal reported that these pressures could disrupt the production-cut deal.
Expected tightening of Iranian exports supports crude prices, raising energy and transport costs for feed producers. Higher oil also supports biofuel demand for corn and vegetable oils.
wsj.comGeorgi KantchevMay 11, 2018After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
