
OPEC signaled it will consider returning to output cuts in 2019, which would be its second production U-turn this year. The shift came amid a volatile oil market and political pressure from President Donald Trump.
Prospects of renewed cuts give crude price support after a sharp selloff, which matters for energy and biofuel costs in feed.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.