
The DOE/EIA weekly average retail diesel price rose 9.8 cents to $3.809 per gallon, the seventh straight weekly increase. Analysts attribute the rise to U.S. military buildup around Iran and ULSD futures gains.
Higher diesel raises farm and feed-transport costs and lifts fuel surcharges, supporting feed delivered prices; the move reflects Middle East risk premium feeding into energy markets.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.