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War in Ukraine has removed Russia and Ukraine, the top two sunflower oil exporters, from the market. Oilseed supply was already tight after Canadian drought cut canola output and South American crop failures reduced soybean supply.
The USDA described recent global vegetable oil developments as negative for production.
Losses of sunflower and other vegetable oil supply tighten the global edible oil balance, supporting vegetable oil prices and raising demand for protein meals as substitutes in feed.
czapp.comWalter CroninMar 23, 2022After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, SBO moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, PALMOIL moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
