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Wheat futures rose after Russia lowered its 2020 production forecast, with Chicago July wheat closing at $5.13 1/2. Black Sea weather was reported as better than feared, and funds were noted as heavily short.
The article also reported a USDA announcement of $16 billion in direct farm payments that had little market effect.
A Russian crop downgrade supports wheat prices, and a large fund short position raises the chance of further short-covering rallies. Feed wheat costs could firm in the near term.
aginfo.netMay 21, 2020After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 78 past neutral report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
