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Commentary on the May WASDE says US wheat production will be significantly lower than last year, while foreign output is projected marginally below 2016/17. US farmers are expected to hold about 6.7% of world wheat, with prices seen staying below production cost, and protein above 11.5% could add about 50 cents.
Lower US and slightly lower world output point to firmer wheat prices, though ample stocks cap gains. Protein premiums matter for buyers choosing feed and milling grades.
farmprogress.comKim AndersonMay 18, 2017After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
