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CBOT corn hit new highs after USDA reported a record corn yield of 175.4 bushels per acre, well above the trade estimate of 172.4. Wheat and cattle futures were mixed on the day, with live cattle lower and feeder cattle higher.
A record corn crop is bearish for corn and corn-based feed costs, though the report's surprise element drove a short-term rally that the article describes.
aginfo.netNov 10, 2017After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 78 past neutral report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 44 past neutral report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.0%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
