
The USDA Cattle on Feed report showed 11.6 million head on feed on May 1, 2018, up 5% from a year earlier. April placements were 1.70 million head, 8% below 2017, and marketings were 1.80 million head, 6% above 2017.
All numbers came in line with analyst expectations.
Feed supplies remain large, which weighs on fed cattle prices, while lower placements point to a tightening feeder supply. Because results matched expectations, the report is unlikely to move prices on its own.
After 78 past neutral report events, LCATTLE moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 44 past neutral report events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.0%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The Cattle on Feed details (placements 8% below last year) were in line with expectations, but they confirmed lower placements and supported the short-covering rally.