
The National Feeder and Stocker Cattle report for November 20, 2023 showed receipts of 343,800 head, down from the prior week and last year, with steers and heifers selling 2 to 6 dollars lower. Feeder futures regained about 40% of prior losses after a sell-off, and buyers favored healthy, vaccinated calves.
The Cattle on Feed report was described as neutral.
Lower feeder calf prices and selective buying reduce feeder cattle values, while the neutral on-feed data offers no strong directional catalyst. Buyers of feed should note calf market softness as a sign of reduced near-term feedlot demand.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 78 past neutral report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.