
USDA February data showed butter up 9.1% and cheese up 3.9%, while NFDM neared $2/lb. Class IV jumped $2.65 to $18.94, DMC triggered payments at an $8.46 margin, and California cleared its last HPAI quarantines.
DFA also terminated 120 milk contracts in New York.
Strong powder and Class IV prices support milk values, while the HPAI clearance removes a disease-related supply risk. Regional oversupply and contract cuts signal uneven milk balances across US regions.
After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.