
USDA's March WASDE cut its milk production forecast on a smaller national dairy herd and raised its all-milk price forecast to $17.00 to $17.60/cwt. The article also notes record 2018 US beef exports of 1.35 million metric tons, worth $8.33 billion.
A lower production forecast tightens milk supply and supports higher dairy prices, while record beef export demand supports cattle values.
After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.