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The USDA's March 8 WASDE lowered its 2019 milk production forecast because of smaller expected dairy cow numbers. It raised the all-milk price forecast to $17.00 to $17.60 per cwt and raised the Class III and IV price forecasts.
Beef production was also cut, and cattle price forecasts were raised.
A smaller milk supply and higher product price forecasts point to firmer dairy prices, which supports the value of milk for dairy feed demand. Lower beef output and firmer cattle prices also tighten the livestock outlook.
blogs.extension.iastate.eduMar 10, 2019After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
